Barack Obama may consider introducing
a tax on carbon emissions to help cut the U.S. budget deficit
after winning a second term as president, according to HSBC
Holdings Plc.

A carbon tax starting at $20 a ton of carbon dioxide
equivalent and rising at about 6 percent a year could raise $154
billion by 2021, Nick Robins, an analyst at the bank in London,
said today in an e-mailed research note, citing Congressional
Research Service estimates.

“Applied to the Congressional Budget Office’s 2012
baseline, this would halve the fiscal deficit by 2022,” Robins
said.

via www.bloomberg.com

A carbon tax should be put in place if it is designed so as to price carbon at its marginal external cost (that is the additional cost imposed on others that is not currently captured in the benefit/cost calculation by the emitter). Carbon tax revenue may as a byproduct reduce the deficit, but justifying the tax on the grounds of deficit reduction seems misleading and we run the risk of ultimately mispricing carbon based on ulterior objectives.

But I guess this just boils down to whether the end justifies the justification?

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  1. Timtaylor Home Avatar

    They also don’t talk of the potential for a “double dividend” – appropriately set carbon taxes reducing the need for distortionary labour taxes thus leading to improved employment. I’m not sure about the 6% per year for the marginal damage cost increase…

  2. Alan Avatar

    If the carbon tax spurs more development of renewables and a consequent decline in carbon emissions, then carbon tax revenues would also decline, right? Then again, that might be a nice problem to have.

  3. Tim Haab Avatar

    Alan,
    I’m starting to think you’re an economist. First a sensible proposal on redevelopment after a natural disaster, and now a realization of the unintended consequences of tax policies. Must be that high quality HS education we got…

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