Jim Roumasset comments on my Adam Smith picture:

Looks cold. Valentina Zharkova suggests that the cold summer in Great Britain may be a harbinger of her forecasted return of the (1645-1715) Maunder Minimum (low solar activity), a Granger cause of the Little Ice Age. Since Granger causation is not actual causation, we are left with solar physicist Phil Goode’s summary: "There are large poorly understood contributors to the Earth's temperature changes independent of greenhouse gasses."

I don't know if climate change is real or not. But if 90%+ scientists believe it is real then I feel like it is my job to do the appropriate sort of environmental economics (i.e., discuss incentive-based policy and suggest it should be implemented).

Plus, it was warmer later in the week. Here I am hiking up Salisbury Crags:

Hike

 

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  1. rjs Avatar

    i think we can definitively say that global warming is real, and that there are good reasons to believe that human activty is to blame (evidence the heat islands around cities)…i’d be more skeptical about the effects of greenhouse gases, because i have yet to encounter a decent description of how methane and CO2 molecules capture and hold energy, what part of the infrared radiation spectrum they absorb, and how that’s different from other gases in the atmosphere…and i’ve asked a lot of people who should know…

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