• What the @#$%, Ohio? You swear more than Illinois? More than New Jersey?

     More than New freakin’ York?!

    That’s the finding of the Seattle-based Marchex Institute, and if you don’t like
    it, you probably shouldn’t tell researchers where to stick it. They already think the Buckeye State
    has the tact of a drunken fool.

    The institute, the research arm of mobile-advertising firm Marchex, studied more
    than 600,000 phone calls placed in the last year from consumers to businesses, among them car
    dealerships and cable companies. The company analyzes calls for its clients, and sometimes it has a
    little fun with the results. This time, it used voice-recognition software that was uncanny at
    picking up the curse words that you apparently love and that we can’t print here.

    Ohio won! Or maybe it lost? Its residents swore more than any other state: In
    every 150 conversations or so, an Ohioan let loose with language that would make your grandma wag
    her finger.

    “I was surprised by the results,” said John Busby, senior vice president of the
    Marchex Institute. He’s a transplanted Midwesterner whose siblings attended Ohio colleges.

    He expected potty mouths to come from the East Coast, but those $#@%s were no
    match for Ohio’s tongues of fury. Maryland and New Jersey were the runners-up, followed by
    Louisiana and Illinois.

    via www.dispatch.com

    Of my 43 years, I have lived 38 of them is states #1 (13 years) and #2 (25 years). 

  • I matched up with a guy who drove a Volt:

    IMG_20130515_131903_172.jpg

  • From the inbox–AccuWeather.com has set the 2013 Over/Under on U.S. landfalls from Atlantic Basin Hurricanes at 3.  OK, they don't call it an Over/Under, but aren't most things more fun if gambling is involved? No? Is that just me?

    2013 hurricane forecast

     

  • So I was narcissistically staring at my LinkedIn profile (send me a connection, I'm trying to boost my own self-esteem by getting to 500+ connections–even if I have no idea what LinkedIn is useful for) and I noticed that I have been endorsed more than twice as much for my skills and expertise in Statistics than I have been for my skills and expertise in Economics.  Further, only one former student has endorsed me for my skills and expertise in Higher Education, Teaching, Communication or Environmental Valuation and no one has endorsed my Management skills.  Just a self-assessment. 

    Skills

  • I don't want to take all of the credit but were started this blog in the middle of last decade:

    For six decades, Americans have tended to drive more every year. But in the middle of the last decade, the number of miles driven — both over all and per capita — began to drop, notes a report to be published on Tuesday by U.S. Pirg, a nonprofit advocacy organization.

    People tend to drive less during recessions, since fewer people are working (and commuting), and most are looking for ways to save money. But Phineas Baxandall, an author of the report and senior analyst for U.S. Pirg, said the changes preceded the recent recession and appeared to be part of a structural shift that is largely rooted in changing demographics

    via www.nytimes.com

    And Tim's "drive less" mantra hit NPR in 2006.

  • Or something else?

    … DeLong, Krugman, Econbrowser, Calculated Risk, Free Exchange, Environmental Economics, and a few more …

    via economistsview.typepad.com

    Actually, it is something else. Here is what Mark Thoma said about these blogs:

    Some of the RSS feeds in the sidebar stopped working for mysterious reasons …

    But still, at least we were mentioned in the same breath! We all broke down at once.

  • Don Fullerton, in the context of the movie Inside Job:

    I would hope to think that most professors do routinely reveal financial conflicts of interest, and that we can use their resulting research to learn something useful – as I said above:  “let others pick it apart or use their own models and data to find competing results.  Then we’ll discuss it!”

    As long as it is revealed, we can USE inherent conflict of interest to help students learn about how to interpret such results. Consider the following two published articles in refereed academic journals about the costs of the oil spill from the Exxon Valdez in 1989:

    Hausman, Jerry A., Gregory K. Leonard, and Daniel McFadden (1995), “A Utility-Consistent, Combined Discrete Choice and Count Data Model: Assessing Recreational Use Losses Due to Natural Resource Damage,” Journal of Public Economics 56: 1-30. 

    Carson, Richard T., Robert C. Mitchell, Michael Hanemann, Raymond J. Kopp, Stanley Presser, and Paul A. Ruud (2003), “Contingent Valuation and Lost Passive Use: Damages from the Exxon Valdez Oil Spill,” Environmental and Resource Economics 25: 257-86

    Hausman et al find that the cost is about $3 million.  That’s a lot of money, if it arrived in my own personal bank account.  But that’s million, with an “m”.  Carson et al find that the cost is about $3 billion.  That’s billion with a “b”.  Is somebody joking here?  No, and in fact, they both are correct!  They are just measuring different things.  Hausman et al measure the lost “use” values of the few thousand Alaskans who will not be able to use that area for recreational hunting, fishing, hiking, and boating.  In contrast, Carson et al measure the lost “NON-use” values of 300,000,000 Americans who likely never visit Alaska but who nonetheless feel badly for the damaged ecosystem and wildlife, and who would be willing to help pay for protection of that natural environment.

    The example is an opportunity to teach students about how properly to interpret academic research and to understand the different perspectives of different researchers.  And although it shouldn’t really surprise anybody, here are the quotes from those two papers’ acknowledgement footnotes, with proper revelation of financial interests:

    Hausman et al, finding that the cost is $3 million: “This paper reports on research funded by Exxon Company, USA. It should not be interpreted as representing the views of any parties other than the authors.”

    Carson et al, finding that the cost is $3 billion:  “The State of Alaska provided funding for this study. … All opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the State of Alaska, the Alfred P. Sloan Foundation, or the authors’ home institutions. The authors bear sole responsibility for any errors or omissions.”

    via businesspublicpolicy.com

  • Don't tell the natural scientists but … shhhh … environmental quality improves when economic activity shuts down (Economics-ejournal.org):

    Environmental Impact of the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games

    Beijing organized the 2008 Summer Olympic Games, and the main goal of the Chinese government regarding this event was to hold a "Green Olympics". A difference-in-differences approach was used to estimate the environmental impact the Olympic Games on air quality improvement in Beijing, compared to improvements in other areas in China. The results indicate that compared to other regions, air quality in Beijing improved for a short period of time. These improvements were largely due to the implementation of several temporary measures, including factory closures and traffic control. However, there is no evidence indicating that the Olympic Games reduced the concentration of sulfur dioxide in Beijing.

  • Greg Mankiw:

    In a recent blog post, Paul Krugman writes:

    As far as I know, among basic textbooks only Krugman/Wells even talks about the liquidity trap.

    This is probably a true statement.  It is not that other books don't cover the topic, however.  It is just that Paul Krugman doesn't know it.

    Delicious.

  • Jack Bauer will be back, baby: EW has confirmed that Fox will bring back its long-running hit 24 next May.

    via insidetv.ew.com